Had to delete that last post because not long after I uploaded it, the situation with Joaquin has changed dramatically. All models except for the European are now in favor of a direct or near-direct hit from a much stronger Joaquin (intensity guidance is showing Joaquin reaching category 2 status before making landfall) somewhere between the Outer Banks of North Carolina, and the Eastern Shore. The track isn’t totally settled yet, the European model (which generally has had a good track record) disagrees and keeps her offshore and weaker, but the trend isn’t looking good for North Carolina and Virginia.
I’ll have another update this afternoon when I have more time to post. But my suggestion would be to take stock of your emergency kit and plans.
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