While model data is still hemming and hawing a bit, a consensus seems to be slowly emerging about this upcoming weekend’s potential for snow. There will be two events: the first late Thursday night into early Friday morning (ending by 8am). This first system will be very minor, only a dusting to an inch or two at the most.
The bigger system would take place Saturday mid-morning through late Saturday night. Despite lingering uncertainty about the exact track, a consensus started to emerge today among the various forecast models. This consensus would mean a moderate event for our area; 3 to 5 inches for metro Richmond seems very reasonable to me, based on current information, with higher totals as you head south towards the Virginia/North Carolina line. By no means is this set in stone just yet…I won’t really feel completely comfortable with the forecast until Thursday at the earliest, as the models have had trouble with getting a handle on this system for the past few days. That should start to change, since by Thursday morning we get within the time frame when models have a much better handle on things.
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